Super small slate tonight to start the second half of the season, but let’s have some fun. FanDuel is currently still in a weird spot regarding same game parlays, so there is not much to work with currently. Tonight’s NBA picks will mainly be just straight bets with great value to build up some money with.
The only NBA parlay I’m rolling with tonight is going to be Russell Westbrook triple double and win (+540) with Luka triple double and win (+560) for a +4256 parlay. An alternative if you like the Spurs to win could be swapping Luka for Dejounte Murray 8+ assists and win at +900 which shoots the two leg parlay odds up to +6300
Bradley Beal under 33.5 is the play of this game. To juice up the odds to positive, I would be comfortable taking him under 26.5 alternate at +320 or anything in between the two. In their recent matchup he struggled from deep, and only scored 23 against one of the best defensive teams against the shooting guard position. Beal is a beast and is more than capable of dropping 50 any night, just not tonight.
Rui Hachimura under 12.5 points is another play I like in this game, as he has really cooled off, not even topping 10 points in 4 of his last 5, including 7 in their last matchup with Memphis.
Russ over 10.5 assists is a play I love as he’s hit it in 3 of his last 4 games including 15 in his last matchup with Memphis.
Ja Morant has scored 35 in back-to-back games including one game against the Wizards, but he’s only averaging 19.8 ppg on the season and his over under is set 4 points higher than his average.
So, while I lean towards over in a favorable NBA matchup, I’m most likely staying away as I don’t like where the prop is set at. I like the Wizards +3 and under 237.5 (+270).
Demar DeRozan should have another really solid game tonight. He recorded 29-6-6 in the last matchup vs Dallas, and carried the load with Murray only playing one minute. With Murray back, DeRozan probably wont score 29 again, but I do like the over on a few of his player props tonight (20.5 pts and 5.5 rebounds).
KP should have a solid game in a pretty favorable matchup, but I’m riding the under 9.5 rebounds as he only had 8 in the last matchup against the Spurs. While he should hit his over in points at 21.5 hitting some threes against a middle of the pack defense that has been generous to opposing Centers.
While KP has a great matchup, Luka Doncic has an incredible matchup. Missing a 36-point triple double in their last head-to-head by one rebound, Luka went off and I expect more of the same tonight. I like Luka to drop 35 at +260 because he is good for 30+ almost every night.
The Mavs have been streaking at home and have been overall playing a lot better basketball since early on in the season. But the last time they played without Murray they only won by 5. These teams are full strength in a game both teams need to start off the second half right. I think this game ends very close. While I like Mavs a little more than the Spurs, I’m not super confident in a straight up winner. I would rather give the Spurs some points.
Official NBA Sick Pix
Kristaps Porzingis over 2.5 made threes (I love the plus odds): +148
Luka Doncic to score 35+ points: +260
Bradley Beal under 33.5 points
Russell Westbrook Triple double and win: +540
Jonas Valanciunas under 16.5 points: +100