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Ryan’s NBA Sick Pix: March 7th

Here are my NBA sick pix for 5-7!

Sixers-Pelicans

NBA Game Breakdown

The Sixers have been winning big lately winning six in a row, with five of them by double digits. With Ingram out, Steven Adams doubtful, and Zion probable with a hand injury, the Sixers should cruise. This game could get out of hand due to the injuries and the fact that the Sixers are the much better team. The game is also in Philly, where the Sixers are 25-7. Good enough for the second-best team in the NBA at home. Sixers are also fifth in the league against the spread at home at 19-12-1. The Pels are also bad on the road with a record of 12-19 away from home. 

Sixers Props 

Not quite sure which props are really going to be good, as there have been so many blowouts lately, especially with the Sixers, where props are just garbage because the games over by halftime. With the injuries, that could easily be the case today, but Joel Embiid double/double and win should be solid. He put up monster numbers in limited minutes last game, so hopefully he can repeat against a really banged up team.

I like Danny Green over 8.5, as he’s been shooting it well lately and has hit in three straight games. I also like Green over 3.5 rebounds as he’s hit in that mark in four straight (including 8 last game). Tobias scares me as his line is lower than his season average, which seems like a trap. Also, with his scoring numbers being very up and down lately. His last five games he scored 17,18,6,21,15. He has only gone over 17.5 twice, despite averaging just under 20 on the season. 

Pels Props 

Starting with Lonzo, his points are set at 16.5 and with all the injuries it’s tempting to ride his over, but I do not think he actually hits his over, so I lean the other way. Lonzo has been rebounding and assisting at a higher rate lately, so I love his rebounds over 5.5 at + odds (hit in six straight games).  I like Zion over 28.5 as he had 37 last time these teams faced off. Add his rebounds over 8.5 at plus odds because he had 15 boards last time against the Sixers. I lean towards under 12.5 for Bledsoe, as he’ll have a tough assignment and only had nine in the first matchup. 

Celtics-Bulls

I do not like this game at all, as both teams have burnt me so many times this year. The Bulls make no sense, some nights they are good, but most nights they are average at best. With Lavine still working to get back into game shape after his covid absence, the Celtics get the edge, but they’re without Jaylen Brown which is a huge loss. Celtics Moneyline is the play, as they should handle business.

Chicago has been terrible at home going 12-20 on the season. Tatum is on a great stretch scoring the ball, but I lean towards his under for points at 29.5. I like Kemba tonight, but hate where his prop is set at. If it was set at 19.5 points, I would feel so much more comfortable then at 21.5. I’m still fading Marcus Smart every game after he blew a parlay for me shooting 1-10 from three, so I love his under 13.5 points as well as under for made threes. I love Vucevic over 22.5 points as he should be able to be a force down low. 

Bucks-Rockets

This game will be ugly, as the Rockets injury report is like a grocery list. Some game time decisions still up in the air, but regardless the Bucks are 16.5-point favorites. I am staying away from props in this game, because this has 30+ point win written all over it. So many blowouts killing props lately, this game will be another. Bucks win margins 26-30 is plus 750 and might be a nice dart toss

Heat-Timberwolves

NBA Game Breakdown

The Heat look to bounce back from a bad loss to Dallas, and all signs point to that being the case tonight. They are the better team and I like them straight up as well as -4. Jimmy is questionable and that is a big loss if he’s out. Even if he doesn’t play, the Heat will find to a win, as how is a Jimmy Butler team going to lose to the Timberwolves after all the trash he’s talked on his way out. T-wolves are 14-16 ats on the road and the Heat are 13-19 at home ats. Neither team is good ats but Miami is the better team at home so I like them to cover today. Minnesota is the second worst team on the road, going 8-25, while the Heat are 19-15 at home. 

Game Props  

There are currently no Heat props offered, But I like Bam over 18.5 points if that’s where his line gets set, as I think he scores 20+ tonight. I could go either way on KAT’s points prop, as 24.5 is so tempting to hammer the over because he’s averaging 24 on the season, but Bam is such a tough defender. I lean towards his over as Edwards carried last game and they need Kat to have a big game. If Jimmy plays, I like Anthony Edwards under 22.5, but if he doesn’t play, Edwards cooks the bench and goes over. Lastly, I like D’Angelo Russell under 21.5 points. 

Hornets-Magic

The Hornets should win as they still hope to make the play in, but some injuries are really hurting them. With Graham out and Bridges out they really need some other guys to step up. The Hornets are 17-15 at home this season, while Orlando is 10-21 on the road. The Hornets are also 17-14-1 at home ats, while Orlando is 16-15 ats on the road. I like the Hornets ml, but the Magic +7.5 as this game should be close. 

Hornets Props

Terry Rozier under 21.5 should be a solid play, as he’s only hit 20 in one of his last six games. Lamelo under 18.5 should be solid, as he’s still getting back into form and has only hit the over once since returning from injury. I lean towards PJ Washington over 16.5 points, as when Bridges is out, he usually steps up. But the Magic are one of the toughest matchups against power forwards, he’ll have his work cut out for him. 

Magic Props

Mo Wagner over 12.5 is a play to hammer, as he plays the four with Bamba at the five. The Hornets are the worst team in the league against power forwards meaning Wagner has a very good matchup he should get plenty of opportunities to score. I like Bamba under 15.5 points as he has a much tougher matchup and will have a down game after a few solid showings in a row. Cole Anthony under 14.5 also seems like a play as he has not scored well in his last two games. 

Cavs-Mavs

NBA Game Breakdown 

The Mavs win this game even without multiple key players. The Cavs are 10-23 ats on the road (worst in NBA) while the Mavs are 13-20 ats at home. I do not like the spread being at 10 in this game as the Cavs have been getting smoked, but their opposition is really banged up. I do like the over at 219.5 as both teams are not great defensively.  

Cavs Props

Colin Sexton should have a solid matchup, but I like Jarrett Allen tonight with both Kleba and KP out. Jarrett Allen over 13.5 points should be a solid play. Especially for + odds as well as him over 9.5 rebounds. With that said, I lean towards the under for Sexton points at 24.5, but love him over 4.5 assists. 

Mavs Props

KP is out again which isn’t a surprise, so its strictly the Luka show tonight. So Hammer Luka over 28.5 as the Cavs can’t guard him. Luka goes for 35 tonight easily so the +270 odds are a nice dart toss. I lean towards under 19.5 points for Tim Hardaway, strictly because I hate how high they have his prop set (averages 16ppg) but her will get plenty of shots so it’s got a chance.  

Nuggets-Jazz

NBA Game Breakdown

Utah -4 is the play as they are the best team in the league at home ats going 22-11, while Denver is 16-15 ats on the road. Utah is the best team at home in the NBA going 29-4 while the Nuggets 19-12 on the road. These are two of the top teams in the league and this game should be very fun to watch. 

Jazz Props

I like Ingles over 6.5 assists as hes been a great facilitator when Conly and Mitchell have missed games. He’s hit the over in four of his last five games. I like Bojan over 21.5 as he has been carrying the scoring load almost nightly.  I lean towards the under for Rudy, as I don’t think he hits 15 points tonight. 

Nuggets Props

I like Jokic over 26.5 as he had 47 and 35 in the two previous head-to-heads.  I also like Jokic over 10.5 rebounds for +100 odds. With Conly out, Campazzo over 9.5 points could be solid as he can shoot from deep. I like Porter under 21.5 points as hell have a tough matchup tonight. 

Official NBA Plays  

Marcus Smart over 5.5 assists

Celtics ML

Lonzo Ball over 5.5 rebounds

Sixers -9

Bucks -16.5 and over 223.5 +160

Heat -4

D’Angelo Russell under 21.5 points

Lamelo over 6.5 assists

Mo Wagner over 12.5 points

Sexton over 4.5 assists

Jarrett Allen over 13.5 points and 9.5 rebounds

Jazz -4

Jokic over 10.5 rebounds and 26.5 points