Let’s be honest here, Sundays are basically just the diet version of Mondays. That’s right, I said it, Sundays are a rough day of the week. I don’t know about you, but I like to cheer myself up on Sunday by spending the entire day watching sports. During the NFL season, this practice makes me happier than Stephen A. Smith watching the Knicks win 9 straight. But alas, football is not with us. Instead, I now focus on the glories of Sunday night NBA and MLB games, and all the juicy bets that come with them.
LA Dodgers (-1.5) vs. SD Padres (+1.5)
This is the most exciting Sunday night matchup of the night and it’s not even close. The season series is tied at 3-3, and it concludes (for now) on Sunday night baseball. I like the Dodgers a lot this game for a variety of reasons. The game is in L.A. with a chance to take the lead in a series that has essentially operated as a 7 game NLCS preview. And damn it has been good. Mookie Betts has an early catch of the year candidate, Fernando Tatis Jr. has 4 home runs in the past 2 games, and Manny Machado is getting booed at Dodger stadium. It’s glorious.
The Dodgers offense has been cold recently amid a slew of injuries, but last night they had a (semi) breakout with 5 runs scored. Joe Musgrove has been terrific this season, but hasn’t faced an offense anywhere close to the level of the Dodgers. I think he comes back down to Earth this game and L.A. covers the spread. According to Action Network, that is where 92% of the bets are going, and the Dodgers are 5-2 ATS at home this season.
I’m also taking the over on the 7.5 total runs mark. This pitching matchup pits near bottom-rotation guys against each other in game 7 of the tied season series. A pitchers duel seems unlikely. I expect a lot of fireworks and big plays just like game one of the series. The Dodgers and Padres also average 4.9 and 3.7 runs/game, respectively, so both teams performing at their averages would hit the over.
Sneaky Bet: Extra Innings? Yes (+680)
Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5) vs. Atlanta Hawks (+6.5)
I’m hammering the Bucks spread for one reason alone: injuries. This team should be renamed “The Atlanta Day-To-Days” given how many guys are hurt. No Trae Young alone is a huge hit, but now Clint Capela might not play as well? And Giannis will likely be guarding John Collins? Everything is working against the Hawks making this a close game, even if it’s in Atlanta. The spread opened at -6.5 MIL, and hasn’t changed despite 72% of the bets going to the Bucks. I like this play a lot.
MIL win margin 11+ (+160)
Giannis Antetokounmpo To Score 40+ points (+1100)
Golden State Warriors (-7.5) vs. Sacramento Kings (+7.5)
Again, injuries are the x-factor with this one. De’Aron Fox, out. Marvin Bagley, out. Richaun Holmes, out. Stephen Curry, is the MVP. Seriously, this Kings team is a mess, and considering the fact that the spread opened at GS (-10) and you can now get them at -7.5 screams value to me. Curry’s extraordinary play in April is well documented, and there is no reason it shouldn’t continue tonight. With Fox out, nobody on the Kings can even imagine being able to guard Curry. 63% of the money is on the Kings, which has definitely influenced the spread in favor of those who bet the Warriors.
Draymond Green To Record a Triple Double (+950)
Stephen Curry To Score 40+ Points (+260)